Category: Research

Sending flares to the world

Nigeria needs help to tide it through the coronavirus lock-down. Without the kind of financial penetration and large government of developed countries, it is very difficult for it to inject

Stimulus in a time of austerity

Last week the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) held its Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 13.50%, thus becoming one of the few central banks

Foreign exchange flexibility

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) last Friday changed the rate in the principal foreign exchange markets by 3.6% in US dollar terms. This looks like a swift adjustment to

Global volatility at 10-year high

The VIX Index, a US index of volatility, stands at its highest level since the global financial crash of 2008. Volatility is not the same thing as risk, but volatility

GDP plaudit for the CBN?

Since last July the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has pursued non-conventional monetary policies (see Coronation Research, Year Ahead 2020, 16 January) which have seen credit grow and domestic risk-free

February tougher than January

January started so well: February is another matter. Nigeria’s stock market was the world’s best-performing in January, foreign money flowed into its fixed-income instruments. Then came the coronavirus, fears over

Cautious optimism for 2020

If a surging stock market and falling risk-free rates are signs of optimism, then we can be optimistic about Nigerian markets this year. Indeed, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)

T-bills yields crash, equities surge

If risk-free asset yields are driven low enough for long enough (and T-bill rates has been falling since October), then risk assets will gain in popularity. The equity market is

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Year Ahead-Re-risking the financial system

Year Ahead 2020: Re-risking the financial system

Oil prices: In a global oil market threatened with over-supply, it appears that OPEC, and its ally Russia, are doing a good job of limiting production.